Preloader

Produce season reference

Where the deals move, and when capacity disappears.

Refrigerated capacity is not a national market. It is a series of regional pulls that arrive on a schedule, and the shippers who plan against that schedule pay less than the ones who react to it.

The calendar

Twelve months of reefer demand.

Timing is approximate and shifts every year with weather. The pattern does not.

MonthPressureWhere the freight isWhat it means for you
JanuaryModerateYuma leafy greens, Florida tomatoes and peppers, Mexico crossing at Nogales and the Texas valleyPost-holiday reset. Usually the easiest booking month of the year.
FebruaryBuildingYuma at peak, Nogales heavy as Mexican volume climbs, Florida strawberriesArizona and south Texas start tightening. Book Nogales lanes earlier than feels necessary.
MarchTightNogales peak, Florida strawberry peak, first Salinas transition talkBorder capacity is the constraint. Drivers are already positioning for the California move.
AprilTightYuma winding down, Huron and early Salinas, Florida spring vegetablesThe desert to coast transition. Equipment repositions and short-term rates spike on the moves that follow it.
MayVery tightSalinas ramping, Vidalia onions, Georgia and Carolina vegetables, Florida melons and sweet cornCalifornia and the Southeast pull at the same time. One of the two hardest months of the year.
JuneVery tightSalinas peak, Georgia peaches and blueberries, Michigan and New Jersey openingPeak national reefer demand. Contracted capacity earns its premium here.
JulyVery tightSalinas holding, Washington cherries, Midwest sweet corn, MichiganIndependence Day compresses a full week of volume into three days. Plan around it, not through it.
AugustTightCalifornia stone fruit and grapes, Michigan heavy, Washington apples beginningDemand starts shifting north and west. Watch for equipment leaving the Midwest early.
SeptemberVery tightWashington apple peak, Michigan apples, California grapesThe Pacific Northwest pull is the single largest regional reefer draw of the year. Outbound PNW is the problem lane.
OctoberTightWashington apples continuing, cranberries, pumpkins, Florida winter deal startingProduce peak overlaps the start of retail holiday freight. Dry van pressure begins competing for drivers.
NovemberExtremeThanksgiving distribution, Yuma and Florida winter opening, Mexico restartingThe hardest month. Holiday food distribution, a regional transition and retail peak land together.
DecemberTight, then softHoliday food distribution, Yuma, Florida, NogalesExtremely tight to roughly the 20th, then the market falls away. Anything that can move early should.

What actually drives it

Capacity does not tighten evenly. It tightens somewhere.

Transitions cost more than peaks

The expensive weeks are not the peak weeks. They are the two or three weeks when a deal moves from one region to another and equipment has to reposition empty to follow it. Yuma to Salinas in April and the northward move in August are the two that catch people.

Outbound is the problem, not inbound

Getting a truck into a produce region during its season is easy. Getting one out is the constraint, and it is what the rate is actually pricing. If your lane runs against the seasonal flow, that is the conversation to have early.

Holidays compress, they do not reduce

A holiday week does not remove volume. It forces the same volume into fewer working days, against receivers with shorter hours. Every holiday in the second half of the year behaves this way.

Planning against it

The shippers who do well in November had the conversation in August.

Commit before the region does

Committed capacity priced during a soft month is worth considerably more than a spot quote during a tight one. The time to price your November is not November.

Know which of your lanes is seasonal

Most shippers have two or three lanes that are genuinely exposed to a regional pull and a dozen that are not. Treating them all the same is what makes a season expensive.

Windows shift with weather every year. Use this to know which conversation to have and when, not as a date to plan a load against.